Russell and Duenes

At Least There Will Be “Peace and Security in My Days”

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Hezekiah, one of the good kings of ancient Judah, was told by the prophet Isaiah that he was going to die from an illness he had contracted. Isaiah told Hezekiah to get this things in order in preparation for his death. In response, Hezekiah implored the Lord with tears to spare his life. God, in His grace, answered Hezekiah’s prayers, and granted him 15 more years of life. But God added the following stipulation to His answer:

Then Isaiah said to Hezekiah, “Hear the word of the Lord of hosts: 6Behold, the days are coming, when all that is in your house, and that which your fathers have stored up till this day, shall be carried to Babylon. Nothing shall be left, says the Lord. 7And some of your own sons, who will come from you, whom you will father, shall be taken away, and they shall be eunuchs in the palace of the king of Babylon.” Then Hezekiah said to Isaiah, “The word of the Lord that you have spoken is good.” For he thought,“There will be peace and security in my days.”

What followed Hezekiah’s reign? 55 years of wicked and disobedient rule under King Manasseh, which doomed Judah beyond repair.

Why do I mention this? Because it seems to me that our current electorate takes the same view that Hezekiah took, namely, keep the bennies coming for me and mine (in our case, unsustainable government bennies), and who cares what we leave for those behind us. So what if we double, triple and quadruple-down on fiscal insanity. At least there will be “peace and security in my days.”

And in case anyone wonders what we are leaving behind us, take your eyes off the deficit. The deficit is the side dish. The main course is demographics. Things will implode because there simply will not be enough human beings to support the welfare states that people are currently voting themselves entitled to. Here’s a nice summary of the problem by Stanley Kurtz from his Demographics and the Culture War:

Global fertility rates have fallen by half since 1972. For a modern nation to replace its population, experts explain, the average woman needs to have 2.1 children over the course of her lifetime. Not a single industrialized nation today has a fertility rate of 2.1, and most are well below replacement level…In Ben Franklin’s day, by contrast, America averaged eight births per woman. American birth rates today are the highest in the industrialized world — yet even those are nonetheless just below the replacement level of 2.1…Fertility rates among native born American women are now far below what they were even in the 1930s, when the Great Depression forced a sharp reduction in family size…From East Asia to the Middle East to Mexico, countries once fabled for their high fertility rates are now falling swiftly toward or below replacement levels. In 1970, a typical woman in the developing world bore six children. Today, that figure is about 2.7. In scale and rapidity, that sort of fertility decline is historically unprecedented. 


Written by Michael Duenes

November 12, 2012 at 9:22 am

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